Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ICP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-11-24 00:00:00+00:00 0.002456 0.002611 0.002777 0.002968 0.003183 0.003421 0.003705
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 0.002260 0.002478 0.002724 0.003027 0.003396 0.003838 0.004421
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 0.002090 0.002342 0.002639 0.003022 0.003518 0.004156 0.005079
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 0.001940 0.002209 0.002535 0.002973 0.003566 0.004377 0.005651
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 0.001871 0.002164 0.002531 0.003042 0.003769 0.004836 0.006691
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 0.001807 0.002116 0.002514 0.003088 0.003943 0.005281 0.007859
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 0.001717 0.002029 0.002437 0.003038 0.003964 0.005484 0.008664
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 0.001625 0.001931 0.002336 0.002943 0.003901 0.005528 0.009160
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 0.001571 0.001881 0.002297 0.002934 0.003970 0.005818 0.010345
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 0.001470 0.001763 0.002157 0.002761 0.003750 0.005530 0.009968
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.001436 0.001734 0.002140 0.002776 0.003846 0.005867 0.011447
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.001418 0.001725 0.002151 0.002832 0.004021 0.006405 0.013969
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.001376 0.001683 0.002113 0.002813 0.004065 0.006694 0.016073
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.001353 0.001667 0.002114 0.002857 0.004235 0.007331 0.020742
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.001318 0.001633 0.002085 0.002848 0.004302 0.007742 0.025425
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.001277 0.001587 0.002036 0.002802 0.004288 0.007935 0.029461
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.001264 0.001582 0.002048 0.002863 0.004504 0.008872 0.046196
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.001248 0.001570 0.002050 0.002904 0.004686 0.009808 0.081862
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 0.001214 0.001531 0.002006 0.002859 0.004667 0.010060 0.115773
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 0.001173 0.001481 0.001943 0.002774 0.004545 0.009893 0.129637
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 0.001150 0.001457 0.001921 0.002766 0.004604 0.010452 0.306357
2025-04-20 00:00:00+00:00 0.001098 0.001388 0.001823 0.002610 0.004295 0.009457 0.147257
2025-04-27 00:00:00+00:00 0.001084 0.001375 0.001816 0.002623 0.004394 0.010159 0.555879